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View Full Version : A new segmentation for electric vehicles


Matthijs
11-25-2009, 01:15 PM
Someone needs to forward this to PW:

http://www.mckinseyquarterly.com/Automotive/Strategy_Analysis/A_new_segmentation_for_electric_vehicles_2464?gp=1

Many carmakers design electric vehicles intended to satisfy the needs of almost all customers. Instead, they should embrace a radical new form of market segmentation.
Global carmakers are trying to define a future market for electric vehicles. To reach beyond affluent, environmentally conscious, or technically enamored buyers, these companies will need to develop products that satisfy the consumers’ main concern—good value for money. Given the current cost of energy storage, that is a considerable challenge.
A recent McKinsey study suggests that one way companies can achieve this goal would be to focus on tailoring battery-powered vehicles to the actual driving missions of specific consumers—that is, to the way they use their vehicles. Most existing gasoline-fueled cars, as well as many electric ones now on the drawing boards, are intended for multiple driving missions of differing lengths and speeds. By focusing on specific driving missions of consumers, a company can match a vehicle’s energy storage requirements to a consumer’s particular needs and thus design more economic vehicles. It can also shape its brand and advertising messages and go-to-market strategies for such products more efficiently.
Our study, which focused on typical driving missions in the United States, examined the factors underlying the energy storage requirements, and thus the costs, of car batteries. We divided energy use into two major categories: the energy required, first, by the vehicles’ physical characteristics (such as rolling resistance and mass) and, second, by the way the vehicles are used (such as driving distance, speed, and the frequency of stopping and starting). It is well understood that the addition of incremental energy storage increases an electric vehicle’s cost substantially. (That isn’t true for gas-fueled vehicles, since a larger gas tank is almost cost free.) But we found that the energy storage requirements of cars used for different missions could be vastly dissimilar, even if their size and total number of miles driven remained the same. Driving missions—much more than the size of vehicles—determine energy storage requirements.

chijayhawker
11-25-2009, 01:19 PM
Would PW understand it or would he glaze over at the fact that its new thinking beyond what those years of Detroit indoctrination taught him.

OC-LA driver
11-25-2009, 02:10 PM
One problem with this concept of vehicles tailored to specific driving missions is the high capital cost of purchasing different vehicles for different missions. Also limited garage space. Also incremental insurance costs.

Buying a bicycle, scooter, or motorcycle for shorter local trips (and urban maneuverability) is a lot less incremental cost than buying a special-purpose electric vehicle.

I do think the 100 mile range Aptera blows the "neighborhood electric vehicle" concept out of the water (except for NEV's presumably lower cost). 100 miles is large enough, and the Aptera's maximum speed high enough, that it can satisfy a huge proportion of driving needs.

One reason for NEV's limited adoption here in Southern CA: NEVs are limited to streets posted 35 mph or lower, but most major arteries here are posted 45+ and surround islands of 25 mph residential neighborhoods. I can't take a NEV anywhere except my neighbors' homes, not even to the grocery store, because it requires 1/10 of a mile on a 45 mph road. Same is true for most homes in Orange County. I've seen people do it, illegally and at their own peril (since posted 45 often means actual speeds of 50-55). IMHO the NEV won't ever be more than a tiny niche. (Even an electric motorcycle with sidecar seems a better solution to me.)